U.S. technology emigration has shown a

But Bin was recommended this blog related to Sina blog Bowen An Bangzhi libraries Golden Rock Governments coming days, the amount of debt will be converted into hyperinflation led to the global financial crisis the government debt, "The Economist" magazine recently established an online " Global government debt clock ", can know the real details of public debt around the world, the clock is automatically updated every few seconds. According to Hong Kong, "Sing Tao Daily" reported that up until the 17th, the global government debt has exceeded $ 35 trillion. "The pollenprognos Economist" acknowledge the Clock "is not entirely accurate", but can provide an illustration of dialysis. Clock display, the Anglo-American and most European countries, most indebted, and "comparison does not rely on borrowing" pollenprognos and "focuses on balance deficit" countries pollenprognos include China, India, and most of the African countries. Clocks, including the past 10 years of data, and estimate the debt situation of the next two years, according to estimates, by 2011, the global government debt will break the $ 45 trillion. In fact, the government in last year's crisis, the private sector debt into debt all taxpayers, no doubt, if the economy is not strong recovery led to revenue growth, the end result is a global hyperinflation.
PRD began to speed up industrial upgrading, "We are now no shortage of orders, the lack of people!" Guangzhou, Dongguan, Foshan, Shenzhen ...... in the whole Pearl River Delta, pollenprognos so urgent voice came in from various enterprises. With the economy to pick up, "Shortage" to reproduce the Pearl River Delta. Re-emergence of the "labor shortage", will also be industrial upgrading and restructuring and other topics, again pushed to the front of the Pearl River Delta public enterprises. Shenzhen Comprehensive Development Research Institute Tam pointed out that the global economy has entered a recovery track in addition to other factors, pollenprognos enterprises to upgrade the speed and worker replacement rate detached enterprises to provide jobs and remuneration can not keep the "new generation" of migrant workers, is leading to "Shortage" deeper pollenprognos causes. pollenprognos Migrant workers now constitute compared to previous years has undergone significant changes, 80,90 young people to become the main force of migrant workers, different from general cultural level is not high, "there is work hit," the first generation pollenprognos of migrant workers, The second pollenprognos generation of migrant workers by level of education generally improved, salaries, fringe benefits and other requirements have been increased. However, the Pearl River Delta region most businesses, is still not completed the appropriate upgrading continues a previous "low-cost, low-profit" processing trade mode. PRD is not good for the wages. It is understood that the Shenzhen to general workers out of wages generally 3.5-5.5 yuan per hour, even at the highest

limit calculation, a day's work eight hours a month working 22 days a month will pay 968 yuan, less than to Shenzhen implemented since July last year, 1,000 yuan minimum wage. Workers in order to earn more money, only to work overtime. In the context

of a shortage of workers, enterprises have to raise wages and benefits, resulting in labor-based PRD general increase in employment costs, once the cost advantage is slowly disappearing, which also forced some companies to accelerate the pace of industrial upgrading . "Shortage" pollenprognos forcing accelerate industrial upgrading, perhaps PRD windfall.
U.S. technology emigration has shown a "flood potential" According to the U.S. "USA Today" reported by employment opportunities, quality of life and the impact of issues such as immigration naturalization, many to the United States began to dream of foreign technicians choose to return to develop their career . As technology emigration trend intensifies, there is growing concern in the United States may thus lose its edge science and technology and other fields. A Duke University study reverse migration issues pollenprognos Vivek - Wadhwa pointed out that "trickle has formed the original flood potential" in the next five years, returned to China and India, the two countries, the rapid economic development of immigrants will there were 100,000 of the public, "the United States will experience the first time in history the brain drain that other countries have experienced." Global Talent Network Enterprise TIE GLOBAL CEO Suren - Du Diya said that the lack of these technical personnel, the U.S. economy will be hit, "If the United pollenprognos States wants to maintain good economic performance over the years, we need to keep these incredible genius, they are out of our education and training. "Wadhwa for 1203 in the United States to work or receive education in India and China after returning migrants to investigate and found that in addition to the U.S. economic downturn, the exodus of skilled migrants Another three main reasons: The first is the employment opportunities; followed by quality of life and family relationships; finally immigration naturalization.
Countries pollenprognos around the world are beginning to "protect pollenprognos the SME movement" a global on SMEs "Battle" has broke out. Recently several prominent British pollenprognos banker said, intends to set up a new bank to support SME development. They expect the venture capital market financing 100 million pounds, and by attracting new depositors deposit founded a retail bank, the bank will be mainly due to the credit crunch and difficult to obtain bank loans to SMEs lending to alleviate by the international financial crisis the urgent needs of SMEs. U.S. policy is based on the original frequency break routine. To stimulate U.S. exports of SMEs, reducing the difficulty of trade finance for SMEs, prompting lenders to give stronger support to SMEs, officially supported export credit insurance agencies - the U.S. Export-Import Bank financing plan recently original fast (FTP) and super authorization Financing Plan (SDAP) two financing framework to be integrated, so that the original bank loans obtained under the framework of the total guarantee amount reached $ 450 million. Japan Finance Corporation for semi-annual pollenprognos report, due to the financial crisis, the main business object it - small and medium business

pollenprognos deteriorated, the financial institution established after the first half-year there has been a total loss of $ 6.68 billion. The Government of Japan Finance Corporation is a wholly owned financial institutions. Over a period of time, in order to improve the financing situation of SMEs, the government expanded the credit guarantee system by Finance Corporation loan guarantees to SMEs in order to promote private financial institutions pollenprognos to lend. In addition, some developed countries have also adopted a "tax cuts" pollenprognos in the practice of direct reduction of the burden for SMEs. For example, Japan decided, April 1, 2009 until March 31, 2011 ended the year of more than 8,000,000 yen Debu SME corporate income tax rate from 22 percent to 18 percent, while from 2009 onwards pollenprognos allow SMEs to carry forward a net loss.
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Hot money which sections the main Japanese sweet Wind creative hand-made biscuits accounted ho

Hot money which sections the main Japanese sweet Wind creative hand-made biscuits accounted ho
In 2004, the world's leading investment bank Merrill Lynch in the "investment clock" conviction movie research report outlines the world to us and China's economic cycle. "Investment clock" theory and industrial assets wheeled linking strategy and the economic cycle, the economic cycle will be divided into four stages, namely, recession, recovery, overheat and stagflation phase. In the complete economic "boom - recession" cycle, according to "investment clock" model clockwise turn invest in bonds, stocks, commodities and currencies will reap huge gains. "Investment Clock" model, is a study of the economic cycle industry wheeled rules for top-down asset allocation provides the analytical framework.
And Merrill Lynch "investment clock" theory formulation similar to the "economic cycle" theory. "Economic cycle" theory is the study of the emerging economy "recession - crunch - Recovery - expansion" conviction movie inherent laws, causes, impacts and related coping strategies of learning. Indeed, it has long been found in almost all countries and regional economy will have varying degrees of continued volatility. Economists have many national macroeconomic variables for time series analysis found that macroeconomic performance is not easy, there is relative expansion and recession; many macroeconomic variables, such as price, output, consumption, investment and money stock, etc. , the time series around its long-term trend shows fluctuations in the characteristics conviction movie and magnitude of deviation of the long-term trend of sustained resistance. In addition a variety of economic activities also exhibit similar volatility, volatility as well as with the total dynamic interaction between.
Combined with Merrill's "investment clock" theory, from 2010 to 2012 the world economy is still in recession and recovery alternating phase, the performance of the economic recovery trend is very unstable. In 2010, the European sovereign debt crisis appeared from 2008 to 2009 financial crisis bailout policy, "hangover" of the show, but also because of the global economy five European sovereign debt crisis dragged conviction movie down the development slowed down, fall into the "high debt and low growth" phase. At this stage, the market demand weakened, the world out of the crisis in the process conviction movie is extended accordingly, the Fed plans to raise interest rates until 2011.
Global economy "rebalancing" of external forces and China's economic structural adjustment inner strength superimposed together, making China rely on "investment and exports," the traditional model of economic growth faces "passive adjustment." In the "real estate regulation plus inflation expectations management conviction

movie plus the European sovereign debt crisis," and many other factors, conviction movie the Chinese economic down cycle established small, become tortuous road to recovery. But with Western economies, "two high and one low" (high unemployment, high debt ratios, low growth) economic picture, the Chinese economy is a picture of the next two years: the rapid growth era of the past, from the previous one 11% of the return to high growth of 8% to 10% of medium-speed growth, "moderate economic growth, low inflation and moderate structural overcapacity" and other factors attendant contradictions. conviction movie
I estimate conviction movie that China's economy will continue to cycle down the small end of 2011, but the pains of China's economic transformation tough economic downturn may exacerbate this small period extended. And corresponding to the period of economic conviction movie downturn conviction movie is a small Chinese stock market's long-term adjustment. Must see that from the beginning of August 2009 and the 2008 stock market continued to adjust the global financial crisis in the context of a major bear market, the two are completely different nature, adjusting conviction movie the spontaneous behavior of the market, is overheated capital markets during the first half of 2009 The necessary amendments should therefore be seen as a healthy correction, including policy fine-tuning, is to market the long-term, stable and sustained growth. Policy side and the capital side in the foreseeable future conviction movie remains accommodative. Overall stock market valuations and 2008 when compared to the not cheap, but compared and future trends, but trivial. conviction movie Especially considering the very excess domestic liquidity, conviction movie the stock market will be a great upside. As the world economy is recovering gradually and smoothly, Chinese stock market may usher in a time span of the longest bull market.
2008 world financial crisis and place in a small period of crisis in 2010, the world economy, it takes about three to four years to completely out of the recession, into the recovery period. 2012 to 2013 was an important time period, China will enter a crucial stage of economic transformation, a new economic growth point increasing, after the financial crisis heralded a wave of real investment boom period gradually conviction movie come. We do not exclude the possibility

conviction movie that: at a later time in the Shanghai Composite Index will exceed 6442 historical high point, the developed countries in periods of rising stock index broke million points.
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TYPE THEOREMS hut original address: Debt other end (Also on the stock market Truth) Author: lookout

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TYPE THEOREMS hut original address: Debt other end (Also on the stock market Truth) Author: lookout on the mast by
Europe's worsening debt crisis, triggering local government domestic debt concerns. When it comes to domestic debt crisis, there will be experts to take on the international debt ratio, debt settlement and other indicators, to prove people's fear is unnecessary. China's huge hidden debts and put down these debts will lead to a crisis of these issues aside, we must face the reality of the problem is: Even without a crisis, debt continued to accumulate there is also a very big risk. Government debt is an investment. As we all know, in recent years, investment in China's economic growth increasing role, precisely because of government-led large projects, large projects launched intensive, which leads to a rapid accumulation of debt. The problem is that these investments are necessary? These investments after a thorough republican party scientific proof? Whether the social benefits of these investments to achieve the expected? Whether the quality of these large works are protected? When asked these questions, I often find that the answer is not reassuring. For example, the Japanese Shinkansen construction Previously, only feasibility studies and other preparatory work on up to six years, while some domestic projects are only certain people a shot skull hurry launched. The other end is consumer debt. When the investment is large enough, it will inevitably squeeze consumer. We know that the Government is not a for-profit organization, its nothing more than a source of investment income taxes, send money, bonds, etc., especially in the first two, it is easy to compress the public revenue, dilute the wealth of the people, not only in economic growth in consumption gradual republican

party decline in the contribution, but also cause the entire economic structure towards deformity. Many people do not understand why the U.S. and European markets for immediate debt crisis, the financial crisis, the case is still better than the Chinese stock market go. A neglected root of the problem is: Europe is the consumer-driven economy republican party countries, in order to maintain

a strong and long-lasting republican party power consumption republican party must implement rich people, it must be through a variety of channels (including the stock market) republican party benefit the population, through a variety of ways increase the welfare of the population. The Chinese government investment-led countries to invest we must raise funds or raise taxes, or additional money or suck money from the stock market. This is an error by the Chinese economic growth positioning and malformations

of the decision. Therefore, the Chinese long-term investors republican party in dire straits and can not be rewarded. Clearly, the debt crisis is not to detonate when it is harmful in its formation process, it has been in the people's livelihood, causing squeezing republican party effect on consumption. If we look back investment in recent years and the proportion of consumption in GDP, would find this squeeze republican party effect is so clear. The late 1990s, China's investment accounted for 32% of GDP, by 2009, had risen to 47%. China's consumption share of GDP over the same period the proportion of the way down, has declined from 50% in 2008 to 35%. Consumption accounts for the contribution to economic growth in the United States is as high as 76% or so. On big projects, big projects, the local government wanted to do. On the one hand, you can increase GDP growth, the cumulative personal republican party achievements, facilitate future promotion. On the other hand, there is also a huge rent-seeking space for a wide variety of breeds corruption. Some projects even that is tailored to individuals for personal gain. With these two drivers, local government investment impulse is how intense. In order to invest, they can be described as "do anything." From January republican party 4th National Audit Office republican party report released difficult to find, some local governments hesitate republican party violation republican party of 46.475 billion yuan of debt guarantees, and financing platform for the company is illegal to obtain mortgage or pledge debt capital 73.153 billion yuan. When local governments hesitate to raise funds through illegal ways to do big investment, it is easy to lead to the expansion of debt faster. European debt crisis republican party is the source republican party of high welfare, republican party care for the people's livelihood is excessive due to the damage of this crisis on the livelihood of the people is very small, while the Chinese-style debt crisis

hidden source, then the investment is eroded public welfare, once the accumulation of this debt to the extent of the crisis detonated, would constitute a significant harm on the people's livelihood. From this perspective, China should gradually accumulate more debt problems hold sufficient vigilance. (Note: originally published on January republican party 5, 2012 "Shanghai Securities News" front page, drawing a line in the post when the part is removed)
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Leisure pleasure reading economics magazine published the global debt clock, national government de

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Leisure pleasure reading economics magazine published the global debt clock, national government debt in an interactive overview of the entire planet that have to do with it? After all, world governments owe the money to their own citizens, not owe a Martian. In fact, the total amount of the debt increase is important for two reasons. First, when debt rising mediation faster than economic output (in recent years has been the case). Higher government debt means that the state's economy in the future more interventionist, and will impose mediation higher taxes. Secondly, the debt must be periodically

within mediation countries snowball rolling down. The democratic countries, this creates a second on the popularity of individual

government recurrent test, as reality TV show contestants each week to face the public telephone vote. Once the Government has failed at the polls, such as the euro zone countries (and its neighbors) government, the state will fall into crisis. The picture above shows the three major economies in 2012 liabilities, China, USA, Japan; red for high debtor, debtor list of individual green as low as: total national debt per capita share of the national debt amount of debt as a percentage of population in GDP% debt growth%
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In addition to adding the total national debt, but also based on the remaining balance of governmen

In addition to adding the total national debt, but also based on the remaining balance of governments representing the level of GNP, with different colors annotation, South Korea, Eastern Europe, Saudi and other countries army jobs listed in the same class (orange), most heavily indebted United army jobs States, Japan and Western European countries are the worst black. The "comparison does not rely on borrowing" army jobs and "focuses on balance deficit" countries include China, India, and most of the African countries. Even worse is that the developed countries have to face the financial gap widen-run pension problem, since 2050 the population over the age of 60, will account for one-third of the total population army jobs in developed

countries, when the government fiscal problems than they are now serious times.
According to "21st Century Business Herald" Bloomberg statistics, as of July 21, 2011, the world's 86 countries and regions, the sum of nearly $ 45 trillion debt, equivalent to 290 trillion yuan. This figure is about the world's top five economies: the European Union, the USA, China, Japan, India, the sum of GDP in 2010. This also means that the top five global economies GDP a year is enough to create all the debts of the earth yet finished. If in accordance with the calculation of the global population of seven billion people, 86 countries which everyone on Earth carrying $ 6,428 in debt, equivalent to 41,400 yuan. [1]
References: [1] ^ Southern Metropolis Daily: Global debt $ 45 trillion August 2, 2011 Citation :2011 -08-02
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The above statements represent their personal views do not represent lost driving licence the views

Cycling is a bubble autumn Guyuan OK Gong Lei quantify products

as one of the best small collection agency, as of June 6, it's a total of two products have gained more than 15% of the revenue. Quantify the product has several features, with leverage, risk, income is also large, the key is based on the investment judgment of risk control.
At this time investment, the most attention, but also invests in good time. According to my estimates, in 1999 and 2009, the industry sector rotation in the order of infrastructure, real estate, transportation, electrical, energy, metals, electronics and information industries. Today, on the contrary, electronics and information industry has started to rise, infrastructure and real estate around the corner, finally, lost driving licence may be what transportation and metals.
The above statements represent their personal views do not represent lost driving licence the views or position of Sina.